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Will The Sizzling Fragrance Category Cool Off Next Year?

Fragrance surprisingly gained traction during the pandemic—and it hasn't stopped. According to market research firm Circana, fragrance was the fastest-growing prestige beauty category in the first half of this year. Looking at beauty retail traffic in the last 52 weeks, market research firm NIQ finds fragrance is “the …
Rachel Brown·November 14, 2024·2 min read
The 30-second read
Fragrance surprisingly gained traction during the pandemic—and it hasn’t stopped. According to market research firm Circana, fragrance was the fastest-growing prestige beauty category in the first half of this year. Looking at beauty retail traffic in the last 52 weeks, market research firm NIQ finds fragrance is “the sole category witnessing growth in in-store visits.”

The strength of fragrance has spurred investor interest, and recent deals in the category involve Bibbi, Vyrao, Ex Nihilo, and D.S. & Durga. During a panel discussion on fragrance at Beauty Independent’s Dealmaker Summit EU/UK on Monday, the panelists universally expressed optimism about the future of luxury fragrance deal flow. They explained that the high prices of luxury fragrances are attractive to investors and buyers as is the ability of fragrance brands to build immersive worlds that connect deeply with customers.

Javier Ferran, the chair of Diageo who sold his stake in the fragrance brand Creed to Kering in 2023, says a top-tier fragrance brand “really needs to be timeless. Ideally this timelessness will come from distinctiveness, whether it’s emotional, whether it is related to packaging…Most strategics in consumer groups want to buy things that on average are more premium than what they already have and grow faster than what they already have.”

To understand whether investors and investment bankers broadly agree with the sentiments shared on the Dealmaker Summit EU/UK panel, for this edition of our ongoing series posing questions relevant to indie beauty, we asked 10 of them the following: Do you believe fragrance will be the fastest-growing prestige category next year? What do you anticipate for investment and M&A in fragrance heading into 2025? What are challenges and opportunities in the category for investors and strategic buyers?

The players

3 mentioned
Brand

AS Beauty

Founded2019
HQNew York, New York, United States
Revenue Range$150M+
Brand

D.S. & Durga

Investor

T Investment

Founded2021
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